Individual Year Hurricane Forecasts Found Weaker Than Multi-Year

April 3, 2008

  • April 3, 2008 at 1:58 am
    Mike says:
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  • April 3, 2008 at 2:11 am
    LA Man says:
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    I wish they would spend their time and money on predicting PowerBall winning numbers…..I think I have it figured out. The number 9 came up twice in the last seven drawing!! Hurricane predicting…what a joke. Get it right once, even using your 3 mid-season “adjustments” then maybe your opinion will count.

  • April 3, 2008 at 2:18 am
    Hot Diggity!! says:
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    Must be the same actuaries that were featured in yesterday’s article! I am impressed!

  • April 3, 2008 at 2:40 am
    Realist says:
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    Gobble-gook

  • April 3, 2008 at 3:31 am
    Dread says:
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    Why is money being spent on these annual mental masturbation exercises? We’ll get however many freakin’ hurricanes mother nature decides to give birth to. It’s not like anybody can prepare for 20 instead of 10. What are people supposed to do with their forecast? (which is usually flawed anyway)

  • April 4, 2008 at 8:11 am
    Thanks! says:
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    Law of Large Numbers Comfirmed. Thanks Aon!

  • April 4, 2008 at 8:43 am
    Ratemaker says:
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    If you happen to be a catastrophe reinsurer, like AON is, you care a great deal about predicting the frequency of hurricanes.

    And as for why its being done in the public sector, the federal government, through the NFIP, is also a catastrophe reinsurer.

  • April 4, 2008 at 12:35 pm
    CubHater says:
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    …Cubs lose for the 100th straight year!!!



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