Any one of us could probably come with a prediction as accurate as any of the “experts”. They’re just picking numbers and then when they don’t happen; offer up some excuse. Here’s my forecast for 2008:
12 Named Storms.
7 Hurricanes.
3 of them major, all htting Florida first from the Atlantic side and over to the gulf side and then making a big right hand turn for the AL, MS, LA, TX coasts.
For a really long time people in power believed that the world was flat, and that the sun revolved around the earth, and heresy if you thought otherwise; this is you…calling today’s climateology theories a tree-hugger thing.
I know we’re all concerned about the number of hurricanes that will impact us in 2008. Some of us as property owners, others as insurance agents, others as underwriters. Because of the cost associated with “professional” meteoroligcal modelling many of us do not have access to our own forecasts for our specific needs. To solve this problem I’ve combined my many years of insurance knowledge as well as the ability to know when it’s going to rain with a game I played in high school, AD&D. I’m proud to say this method has the same success rate as the “professional” forecasters over the last 3 years.
1) Get 2 6-sided dice. (perferably one red, one white).
2) Roll both, the white die is your first number, the red your second (i.e. a 2 on the white, 5 on the red = 25) – this is the number of named storms for the current year.
3) Roll both again using the same white/red order. This is the percentage of those named storms that will become a hurricane.
4) Roll only the red die, this is the number of hurricanes that will hit mainland US.
5) Roll both dice again still using the white/red method. This is the percent of the storms hitting the US that will be Category 3 or higher.
Try it, it works as well as the high-paid consultants.
” Similarly, Robert Hartwig, president of the Insurance Information Institute, said the industry saw about a 20 percent increase in the number of flood policies sold in Gulf Coast states in the two years after Katrina. But about one in five new policies is not being renewed, he said.
“People believe they’ve rode out the worst of the storm, so to speak,” Hartwig said. “Nothing could be further from the truth.”
Inless in a flood plin, you can not force Homeowners to get flood insurance. It is also impossible t legislate against stupidity when the PH lets their policy lapse next year and floods the year thereafter.
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Any one of us could probably come with a prediction as accurate as any of the “experts”. They’re just picking numbers and then when they don’t happen; offer up some excuse. Here’s my forecast for 2008:
12 Named Storms.
7 Hurricanes.
3 of them major, all htting Florida first from the Atlantic side and over to the gulf side and then making a big right hand turn for the AL, MS, LA, TX coasts.
I don’t know. I wasn’t there. Any ideas?
For a really long time people in power believed that the world was flat, and that the sun revolved around the earth, and heresy if you thought otherwise; this is you…calling today’s climateology theories a tree-hugger thing.
I know we’re all concerned about the number of hurricanes that will impact us in 2008. Some of us as property owners, others as insurance agents, others as underwriters. Because of the cost associated with “professional” meteoroligcal modelling many of us do not have access to our own forecasts for our specific needs. To solve this problem I’ve combined my many years of insurance knowledge as well as the ability to know when it’s going to rain with a game I played in high school, AD&D. I’m proud to say this method has the same success rate as the “professional” forecasters over the last 3 years.
1) Get 2 6-sided dice. (perferably one red, one white).
2) Roll both, the white die is your first number, the red your second (i.e. a 2 on the white, 5 on the red = 25) – this is the number of named storms for the current year.
3) Roll both again using the same white/red order. This is the percentage of those named storms that will become a hurricane.
4) Roll only the red die, this is the number of hurricanes that will hit mainland US.
5) Roll both dice again still using the white/red method. This is the percent of the storms hitting the US that will be Category 3 or higher.
Try it, it works as well as the high-paid consultants.
Patent pending.
” Similarly, Robert Hartwig, president of the Insurance Information Institute, said the industry saw about a 20 percent increase in the number of flood policies sold in Gulf Coast states in the two years after Katrina. But about one in five new policies is not being renewed, he said.
“People believe they’ve rode out the worst of the storm, so to speak,” Hartwig said. “Nothing could be further from the truth.”
Inless in a flood plin, you can not force Homeowners to get flood insurance. It is also impossible t legislate against stupidity when the PH lets their policy lapse next year and floods the year thereafter.