In other words, they are blindfolded throwing darts at a board and where the darts land is how they give us their predictions. These guys can\’t predict more than a day in advance.
First of all, they don\’t have any windows to peer out of. Second, they are very accurate! They check their super-duper 3D radar, send a hurricane plane, watch the local news for satellite pictures & then predict that a hurricane has formed! What more do you want?
How many named storms were there last year? Didn\’t they have to start using names in the greek alphabet because they ran out of regular names? I think they can predict pretty well the likelihood of storms to develop, and have seemed to have done so. Figuring out whether they\’re going to come on land or not is another story. Seems like it\’s the same as trying to predict where a spinning top is going to go. Just my opinion…
Last year\’s forecast was for an above average activity and we ended up with average activity in the Atlantic with no storms making landfall in the United States. NOAA says this was due to a rapidly forming El Nino event that was not possible to include in the forecast in May. According to NOAA, such events can throw the biggest monkey wrench into their forecasts.
In 2005, the early forecast was for above average – that\’s the year that they ran out of names and moved into the Greek alphabet. It was the only year that has ever happened.
Yes, accuracy of the forecasts can always improve, but I don\’t think that they are \”dartboard and blindfold\” bad. Last year\’s \”miss\” has drawn a lot of negative impressions of the forecasting process.
I am the official weather prediction specialist at my house. I predict that during the morning hours I will experience warm, humid conditions during my shower followed by a cool down while standing in front of the a/c register.
By noon temps should start to measureably rise, perhaps to boiling conditions when my boss finds out he is about to be fired.
As evening approaches, I\’ll experience a cooling effect during happy hour.
Well into the evening hours I expect I will lose interest in current conditions as I prepare for bed.
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In other words, they are blindfolded throwing darts at a board and where the darts land is how they give us their predictions. These guys can\’t predict more than a day in advance.
This report is worhtless. Why don\’t they try getting the weekend forecast right first?
First of all, they don\’t have any windows to peer out of. Second, they are very accurate! They check their super-duper 3D radar, send a hurricane plane, watch the local news for satellite pictures & then predict that a hurricane has formed! What more do you want?
How many named storms were there last year? Didn\’t they have to start using names in the greek alphabet because they ran out of regular names? I think they can predict pretty well the likelihood of storms to develop, and have seemed to have done so. Figuring out whether they\’re going to come on land or not is another story. Seems like it\’s the same as trying to predict where a spinning top is going to go. Just my opinion…
Outsider –
Last year\’s forecast was for an above average activity and we ended up with average activity in the Atlantic with no storms making landfall in the United States. NOAA says this was due to a rapidly forming El Nino event that was not possible to include in the forecast in May. According to NOAA, such events can throw the biggest monkey wrench into their forecasts.
In 2005, the early forecast was for above average – that\’s the year that they ran out of names and moved into the Greek alphabet. It was the only year that has ever happened.
Yes, accuracy of the forecasts can always improve, but I don\’t think that they are \”dartboard and blindfold\” bad. Last year\’s \”miss\” has drawn a lot of negative impressions of the forecasting process.
I am the official weather prediction specialist at my house. I predict that during the morning hours I will experience warm, humid conditions during my shower followed by a cool down while standing in front of the a/c register.
By noon temps should start to measureably rise, perhaps to boiling conditions when my boss finds out he is about to be fired.
As evening approaches, I\’ll experience a cooling effect during happy hour.
Well into the evening hours I expect I will lose interest in current conditions as I prepare for bed.
That is all for now…
Goodnight\’Grandpa. Goodnight,Grandma. Goodnight,John. Goodnight,Olivia. Goodnight,John-Boy. Goodnight,Jason. Goodnight,Ben. Goodnight,Jim-BOB. Goodnight,Mary-Ellen. Goodnight,Erin. Goodnight,Elizabeth. Goodnight,Curt. Goodnight,John-Curtis. Goodnight,Cindy. Goodnight,Ginny. Goodnight,Baldwin Sisters. Goodnight,Yancy. Goodnight,Ike. Goodnight,Corabeth. Goodnight,Aimee